Amazing healthcare advances forecast for next two decades
By Dick Pelletier
We often think nostalgically of our past as the "good old days,"
but projected scientific and technological breakthroughs suggest
the greatest and most exciting times are yet to come. Today,
breakthroughs in healthcare rush at us with amazing speeds, but
the golden ages of biotech, 2010-2020, and molecular nanotech,
2020-2030, promise even greater advances in human health.
Legendary biologist Leroy Hood predicts that in the
next decade, we will understand genetic predispositions for most
sicknesses and develop tools for preventing them. “We’ll move
from a mode that’s largely reactive to one that’s predictive and
preventive,” he says.
Between 2010 and 2020, research labs will place strong
focus on regenerative medicine with its amazing prospect for
re-growing organs and tissues from inside the body. According to
a recent government report, this new technology promises to
radically improve health, restore a more youthful appearance to
aging seniors and 'boomers, and eliminate most deaths from
cancer, heart disease, obesity, and many other illnesses.
This future is not so surprising considering how much
we take our current speed of medical innovations for granted.
Almost daily we hear researchers make fresh discoveries, or
begin new clinical trials. Futurist Ray Kurzweil predicts we can
expect more medical advances between now and 2020 than was
experienced during the entire 20th century.
And when we enter the 2020s, molecular nanotech will
begin to wield its powerful influence over our lives. Oak
Ridge National Laboratory's Dr. Tuan Vo-Dinh dreams of the
day when nano-sized robots will roam freely through the
bloodstream, zapping diseased cells with pinpoint lasers,
repairing all problems they encounter along the way.
Though he admits that nanobots sound like something out
of the 1966 film Fantastic Voyage, Vo-Dinh feels confident his
dream will come true. "Already we can insert nano-biosensors
into cells and observe their process," he says.
Officials at Foresight Institute, an industry
think tank, agree that future nanobots will revolutionize
healthcare. Ability to self-replicate makes them inexpensive,
and because they can position each atom in place with perfect
precision, they leave no doubts about the quality of
performance.
Today, when a cell is damaged, doctors rely on drugs to
instruct the cell to repair itself; a hit-or-miss process that
often fails. With nanobots, damaged cells are completely rebuilt
one atom at a time, creating a flawless, brand new, youthful
cell.
Institute for Molecular
Manufacturing's Robert Freitas believes that, "when
nanorobotics becomes reality, which could happen as early as
mid-2020s, it will not stop at eliminating disease; it will
actually improve on nature. Bones would become stronger and
muscles more powerful."
In addition, Freitas says, "this potential draws the
curtain on one of the most dramatic possibilities of all:
eliminating aging. Most scientists believe aging results from
cell malfunctions. Thus, if nanorobotics can correct cellular
problems, middle-aged and even elderly people should be able to
regain most of their youthful health, strength, and beauty, and
enjoy an almost indefinite extension of life."
Will this "magical future" happen? If today's
technologies continue to advance exponentially, the answer is a
resounding yes. The choice of living hundreds of years in
perfect health, instead of aging and dying may soon be within
our grasp.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.