Live 20 more years and you may never die, futurist claims
By Dick Pelletier
Much decorated entrepreneur and
futurist Ray Kurzweil sums up how new technologies might play
out over the next two decades with the following futuristic
claim: “If you can remain in good health for 20 more years, you
may never die.”
Kurzweil looks at today’s technology
trends to piece together a convincing picture of what science
hopes to accomplish in the decades ahead. He believes we will
eliminate all disease, pain, and forgetfulness; even most
unwanted deaths. “If you live well for the next 20 years,”
Kurzweil says, “you may be able to live in perfect health for as
long as you want.”
Though accidents, crime, wars, and
terrorism could still cause death in this future time, nobody
will die from heart disease, cancer, AIDS, malnutrition, or any
of today’s illnesses.
This future is not so surprising
considering the current speed of medical innovations. Almost
daily, we hear researchers make new discoveries, or begin
clinical trials for a new therapy; and during the next 20 years,
experts say, healthcare breakthroughs will occur at even faster
rates.
In Nanomedicine, author Robert
Freitas talks of developing tiny nanorobots that roam through
our bodies, repairing any cell damage they discover. “The hard
part is building the first one,” Freitas says. “Although the
road ahead may be difficult, in the end, living in perfect
health indefinitely will be possible.”
Freitas compares nanomedicine
development to the computer industry. “It took 50 years of
market-driven research to bring computers to their present
state,” he says. “We will see a similar, but more rapid
progression with nanomedicine.”
“Nanoscience,” Freitas predicts, “could
produce bio-robots by 2010. Next will be hybrid robots built
from engineered structural DNA, synthetic proteins, and other
non-biological materials. Finally, by mid-2020s, we will develop
completely artificial devices: nanorobots capable of protecting
every cell in the body from disease and injury.”
“If we define disease as something gone
wrong with an otherwise healthy body,” Freitas adds, “then
aging; and indeed, ‘natural death’ itself are diseases that
occur when the body’s cellular structure cannot repair damages.
Nanomedicine will not only allow us to repair these damages, but
we can undo damage already inflicted. This means that the young
can remain young and the old will become young.”
In just twenty years, today’s seniors
and ‘boomers could be looking in the mirror and honestly
wondering, “Who is that gorgeous creature?” Their reflection
would reveal a perfectly shaped, healthy body, with natural hair
color, wrinkle-free skin, and real teeth. In the future, more
people will remain healthy longer as they age and everyone will
require less need for healthcare. We may even see centenarians
begin new careers.
However, improving humans beyond what
some consider “natural” may evoke controversy. Religions hold
that death is inevitable; that living a good life sends
believers to an afterlife paradise, and memories of lost loved
ones live on in the hearts of descendents.
But experts say this controversy will
not stop efforts to extend human life. Demand from citizens who
believe they deserve improved health and longer, happier lives,
will drive this “magical future” forward – and it could become
reality in time to benefit many alive today.
This article appeared in various print publications and
on-line blogs. Comments always welcome.